Chiefs predicted to win west

http://www.arrowheadpride.com/2010/7...rs-predicts-kc

The Chiefs are getting some love from the football stats gurus at Football Outsiders. From the 2010 edition of the Football Outsiders' Almanac...

There are a lot of numbers in this book that will surprise readers. One of the most surprising, though, is the figure that stands next to the “2010 Mean Projection” line in the box on this page: 8.9. Our projection system suggests that the 2010 Kansas City Chiefs will win those 8.9 games despite winning a total of ten games over the past three seasons. It projects that the Chiefs will shockingly win the AFC West, giving them a home playoff game for the first time since 2003, when Priest Holmes was still in his pomp.

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Some key points in the article...

* Schedule strength - The Chiefs have the easiest predicted strength of schedule out of all 32 teams (-9.1% DVOA).

* Elite running game - Jamaal Charles turned out to be an absolute stud (like FO predicted last year), and their running game only got better with the addition of Thomas Jones. Another factor is the improvement of the offensive line with the addition of Ryan Lilja and Casey Wiegmann.

* Healthy team - The Chiefs have been the 4th healthiest team in the NFL over the past three years (according to the FO adjusted games lost metric). Haley's conditioning program (and the influx of young players since 2008) has to have contributed to this.

* Addressed biggest weaknesses in offseason - FO picked safety as the biggest need on the defensive side and center as the biggest need on the offensive side. Both of these positions were improved over the offseason with the additions of Wiegmann and Berry (although Wiegmann is obviously a short-term solution).

* Stud players - FO picks Jamaal Charles and Tamba Hali as the biggest difference-makers for the Chiefs. They are projecting Tamba Hali to have a season similar to Elvis Dumervil's 2009.

* Weak competition in AFC West - San Diego is a one-dimensional team powered by a stellar passing offense which should regress to the mean (especially with the loss of Jackson). Denver went only 8-8 last year and has gutted their offense under Josh McDaniels. Oakland is, as always, Oakland.

HaHa love it. GO CHIEFS!!!!!!!!

I know we will have a .500 season this year...but win the division...ehhh...not this season imo.. But we have the brightest future of neone in the division by far..exp since R. Seymore sas he won't re sign with the raiders and they don't have a first rounder this season...the Chargers are getting worse..and this is there last season to be on top...but hey we could win the division..this division is more up for grabs than any other in the nfl

We might win the West. Sadly I think Oakland may be improved.

If Oakland wins the West it will be this year only...no 1st rounder... Prob no Seymore after this season..prob no Ellis... IF they win this will b the onlt year they do...but I still think it's the chargers year...then next season us... We will be more active in FA next season on the D side of the ball I really see us picking up a True NT in FA or early in the draft next season

I don't think the Raiders will be good so that kinda says how pitiful i think the division is. Hell I don't think we'll be good. Improved, yes. Playoff contender, because of our division, yes. Could we make noise in the playoffs. Doubt it. If Cassel dosn't throw 30tds he never will and needs to leave. We have to have our RB's avg 4ypc. The most overrated stat in the NFL today is a 1000yd rusher. You have 16 fucking games to get it. It's like 60 ypg.

Matt Cassel-QB- Chiefs Jul. 27 - 2:59 pm et


Coach Todd Haley confirmed Tuesday that offensive coordinator Charlie Weis will be the Chiefs' primary play-caller in 2010.

Haley, also an excellent play-caller, will still be involved, and the two have similar offensive philosophies. In eight seasons as an NFL coordinator, Weis' offenses have averaged an impressive 23.7 points per game. His strong history with quarterbacks and pass-catching tailbacks bodes well for Matt Cassel and Jamaal Charles.
Source: Kansas City Star
Related: Jamaal Charles